Polls up to April 6 as reported by 338 (these are the poll numbers as reported, not projections)

I'm including both the National and Quebec numbers because there is some interesting movement in the Bloc numbers nationally downward, but it is not reflected in the Quebec numbers themselves. It seems that half Quebec polls have the Bloc polling around 20% and the other around 30%. A rather huge difference.

However, there does seem to be a decline in Liberal support in Quebec over the past week.
#CanPoli #CdnPoli #Elxn45 #Polls #LPC #Bloc #NDP #CPC #GPC

Is someting happening in Quebec?!

The Bloc have broken below the 5% (national poll) barrier twice in the latest two days of polling, which is for April 4th and 5th.

Mainstreet polls, 4% on the 4th, then 3% on the 5th.
There are also Liaison “B" grade (not included on graph) polling that pegged them at 4% in their four most recent pollings since April 2nd.

LPC/CPC still within usual bounds. NDP steady.

https://338canada.com/polls.htm

Looking at the latest polls on this the eve of the 3rd week… everyone is still in their band that they've been in since March 24.

But I do notice the Bloc has hit a new low of 4%.

A sign of a subtle shift in seat-rich Quebec?

Note, the graph below only shows the “A rated" national polls as listed at 338canada.com.

LPC: continuing in their band, but on a short downward.
CPC: continuing in their band, but on a short upward.
NDP: fairly stable around 8%
GPC/PPC: wallowing under 5%

https://338canada.com/polls.htm
#CanPoli #CdnPoli #Elxn45 #Bloc #NDP #LPC #CPC #GPC

I created a line chart from the data of polls tracked by 338Canada.com. I wanted to see it myself.

Nothing revelatory here but I really wanted to watch that CPC and NDP trend. This makes it easier than looking at the table.

Looks like the CPC is stuck in the 35-40% band. The LPC has reached its peak around 45% and the NDP and Bloc found their bottoms at 6% and 4% respectively.

Will the #TrumpTariffs produce a shift?

https://338canada.com/polls.htm
#Elxn45 #CanPoli #CPC #LPC #NDP #Bloc #GPC #PPC

In 4 Monday's we will be having #elxn45 in Canada!

If it were held today, according to 338canada.com, the networks would likely call it almost immediately if these projections bear out. Eastern Canada will send 151 Liberals. Only 172 seats are needed for a majority.

I still think the NDP projection is way too low, and I expect 2 Greens, but neither of those will change the overall outcome.

That said, 4 weeks is a long time!
#CdnPoli #CanPoli #NDP #LPC #CPC #Bloc #Green

https://www.europesays.com/1957932/ Europe on brink of ‘civil war’ as Germany urges EU to punish 1 country | World | News #belgium #bloc #CivilWar #eu #europe #EuropeanUnion #germany #hungary #merz #Politics

When I got to the gym I felt a bit sluggish. After warming up I was tired. Kinda hard to get going.
In the end I did manage a couple of reds, this is one of them! It took me a while to stick the dyno, but I flashed the rest. (although the first time I stuck the dyno, my heel slipped later on)

March Abacus survey suggests 81 per cent of NDP voters want to see Liberal Leader Mark Carney elected prime minister. The numbers are similar for Bloc Québécois supporters, 80 per cent of whom say they would also prefer Carney to Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre. #election2025 #liberals #NDP #bloc #carney #canada
https://www.thestar.com/politics/federal-elections/jagmeet-singh-needs-to-stop-pretending-hes-going-to-win-the-election/article_39991b60-c9cf-488c-9363-7880d3159aab.html

#CPPotD
WHEN WILL CARNEY CALL AN ELECTION?

CBC: Liberals lagging other parties in candidates as election call could be days awa https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/liberal-mp-candidates-1.7486203

Here's my new project. It's a black-graded problem at Totem Meyrin. Super happy with this weird swing move!
I've already done the second part, so I really "just" need to send it in one go.

All I know from a Canadian perspective about all that is happening with the USA and Ukraine and Canada and the UK and Europe and all the rest, is the darned Liberal Leadership race cannot be over soon enough!!

We need to have an election, and boy, IS IT GOING TO BE AN ELECTION.

I forgot to post this last week: my brother and I did the valentine's day special at Totem meyrin. It wasn't very hard, but hanging on to a human limb is always weird and wobbly. This was on sight, and we spent more than 2 minutes on the wall. Sped up most of the boring parts!
#climbing #bouldering #bloc #escalade #totem

Tonight was a good session! I'd done the first half and the second half of this boulder a couple of weeks ago.
Managed to link them on my first try today!

Hi there! I've created this new mastodon account so I guess it's time for an #introduction!
I'm Jay, and I love bouldering, so I'll be posting videos of me climbing, like this one.
It's a problem I attempted a few times with no success. This was the try I finally cracked that left hand reach, the solution was to campus it (couldn't keep my feet for the life of me!). I guess I have a project!